Hello, thank you for your opinion. The draw is random, but because each participant can have multiple entries, some names naturally appear more often. It is always a new draw.
What may look like a "pattern" (like tickets being selected every few numbers) is just how randomness can behave; it doesn’t guarantee even spacing. In fact, perfectly even distribution would be less random.
The same principle applies whether using Excel or any other random selection method.
Also, almost the same people are mainly participating. So getting 20 players out of 80 will evoke patterns.
Thank you, but in my opinion we have that covered. Human brains are excellent at spotting patterns, even where there are none. This is a well-known cognitive bias.
Random results often look "non-random" to us because we expect them to be evenly distributed, but true randomness doesn’t work like that. Imagine this:
We’re drawing 20 winners out of ~80 tickets, so roughly 1 in 4 tickets wins.
With this probability, it’s completely normal to see winners appearing close together or with gaps in between.
Random results are not evenly spaced, they often create clusters, which can look like patterns even when everything is fair.
I'm sorry you feel this way.
Hey, sorry to say that, but we already have the winners. Wait a few days for new givaway, please. 🙂
Hello, a new one is about to start soon. So hopefully, luck will be with you later. 🍀 Thank you for participating.
Will be sending the verification emails soon, so keep an eye on the mailbox. 😉
My sincere congratulations! 🚀👌
For those who may have doubts:
Fairness is inherently difficult to "prove" when results are being analyzed retrospectively and patterns are searched for. The same data can often be interpreted in different ways depending on expectations.
Fairness is inherently difficult to "prove" when results are analyzed retrospectively and conclusions are drawn from small samples.
Based on results from the last ~6 competitions, including 2 draws done via Excel (these are over a year old), the outcomes are consistent across all of them.
In every case, regardless of the method used, many of the same participants appear repeatedly among the winners. This is expected.
There are a few key reasons for this:
We typically draw around 20 winners from roughly 80 participants, meaning about 25% of all entries win each time
Many users participate regularly across multiple competitions
Some users have multiple entries, increasing their chances further
Because of this, repeated winners and overlapping results are a natural outcome of probability, not an indication of any issue with the draw.
Importantly, the same behavior is visible even in older Excel-based draws, which confirms that it is not tied to any specific tool or method.
Random selection does not guarantee evenly distributed or constantly changing winners, especially in a relatively small and consistent participant pool. I appreciate you taking time to look into this with me. 🙂
I look forward to the prize, thank you, excellent contest, congratulations to all participants, well done!
Espero con gusto el premio gracias excelente concurso felicidades a todos los participantes en hora buena!
I love this platform, come on, let's try everything!
Me encanta esta plataforma venga ah probar todo
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